Mortgaging our children’s future: Aussie ticking time bomb sparks fears should new GFC hit

AUSTRALIAN households are sitting on a ticking time bomb of debt, exposing the economy to risks in the event of another financial crisis, according to new analysis.

The Australian reports household debt in Australia is equal to 130 per cent of GDP, compared with an average across the advanced world of 78 per cent, according to Barclays chief economist Kieran Davies.

Household debt was at 116 per cent of GDP before the global financial crisis and held steady until 2013, when the property boom set it rising again.

Mr Davies said Australia’s debt levels were rising when those of other countries were falling, and the predicted rate cuts were likely to push borrowing even higher.

Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens warned of the dangers of taking on excessive debt last year, saying “we would surely be asking for trouble if we see a big step up from where we are”.

“The tricky thing for the Reserve Bank is that promoting leverage is the key channel for the transmission of lower interest rates through to the rest of the economy,” Mr Davies said.

The high popularity of real estate investment in Australia compared with other countries is being driven by the availability of negative gearing tax concessions and favourable capital gains tax treatment.

The level of household debt is higher now than at any other time in Australia’s history, with records going back to the 1850s. The level of bank lending as a share of GDP is now more than double the share of the previous peak, which was during the 1890s land boom.

Using Super to Buy First Home a 'Pressing National Issue' Says REIA

Federal Treasurer Joe Hockey appears to have taken the real estate industry lobby group's advice in suggesting people should be able to use their superannuation to buy their first homes, as the peak superannuation body urged caution for such an approach.

The Real Estate Institute of Australia outlined the radical idea in its budget submission to Mr Hockey last month, with the treasurer saying Australians ought to start thinking seriously about the way in which their super savings can be used in the future because people were working and living for longer.

"We are prepared to look at a diverse range of proposals to help young Australians buy their first home," Mr Hockey said, suggesting that super could be used for a deposit on a first home or job retraining.

His comments were quickly criticised by Labor and some economists, but REIA chief executive Amanda Lynch said using super to help pay for a first home could make housing more affordable and build retirement savings.

"We believe that owning a home is the biggest generator of long-term financial security for Australians and the earlier you can access the housing market, the more secure your retirement will be because most Australians aspire to have paid of their home before they retire," Ms Lynch said.

Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen rejected the suggestion, saying it would have the opposite effect.

"[The] plan would have the likely effect of not only undermining retirement incomes but also driving housing prices up further and making it harder for first-home buyers," he said.

Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia chief executive Pauline Vamos said the plan would benefit the rich far more than the poor.

"There are significant equity issues when it comes to allowing the release of concessionally taxed superannuation contributions for home equity," she said, referring to higher income earners paying 45 cents in the dollar in income tax but only 15 cents in the dollar on superannuation contributions.

They would be able use concessionally taxed super money to buy a house and then top up their super, again at a low tax rate.

"There significant equity issues when it comes to allowing the release of concessionally taxed superannuation contributions for home equity," she said.

But Ms Lynch stood by the proposal.

"The fact about buying a house is that you are actually saving all that equity and the compounding interest will be beneficial. To say that investing in superannuation, which is mainly skewed towards shares, is a safe proposition doesn't hold up to scrutiny.

"In the years since the GFC we have actually seen super being more of a financial risk than previously and a lot of people close to retirement have found their super balances have been dwindling."

Private Health Insurance Pain as Households Struggle to Cope With Rises

Private health insurance pain as households struggle to cope with rises

Private health insurance premiums are set to rise an average 6.18 per cent on April 1.

HALF of Australia’s private health insurance customers are thinking about downgrading their cover in an effort to combat soaring premiums.

Ahead of an average health insurance rise of 6.18 per cent on April 1, new research by consumer network One Big Switch has found that two-thirds of households have had trouble paying their bill.

Its survey of 40,000 consumers also found that many people are making sacrifices to stay insured, including reducing their level of cover, increasing their excess and spending less elsewhere.

One Big Switch spokesman Joel Gibson said this year’s premium hike was the second consecutive annual bill rise of about $300.

“Health insurance is one of those bills that really gets under people’s skin,” he said.

“Sooner or later, something’s got to give, or thousands of consumers will dump their private cover and fall back on the public health system.”




Consumers who \dump their private cover will fall back on the public health system. Picture: Publishing Ingram.

Mr Gibson said some people were trading away certain treatments, such as heart or eye treatments.

MORE: The government’s health fund rebate slashed costing families $120 a yea

He cautioned about quitting private health cover outright. “There’s the danger that if you drop it altogether, because you can’t afford it, it becomes harder to get back in if you are over 30.”

The Federal Government’s Lifetime Health Cover rules penalise people with a loading of 2 per cent for every year after age 30 that they don’t have hospital cover, up to a maximum 70 per cent loading. There are also penalty taxes for middle and higher income earners who don’t take out hospital cover.

“Australians want the peace of mind that comes with private health insurance, but many are now being priced out of the market,” Mr Gibson said.

Medibank chief customer officer Laz Cotsios said customers should review their health insurance policies at least annually.

“A cover review allows people to consider their situation and check that their cover still suits them,” he said.




Medibank branch, Adelaide Street, Brisbane. Medibank was floated on the stock market today. Customers discuss their impressions of the float. Photo: Claudia BaxterALSO: Pay doctors more but only when they provide the right care say health funds

“Don’t forget that you can prepay your health insurance to lock in your current premium.”

More than 20,000 people have signed a One Big Switch petition calling for more affordable private health insurance, and the consumer network has joined forces with News Corp Australia in a campaign to use people power to unlock a group discount offer from a health fund.

RELATED: Mooted private health insurance ‘excess’ rise could double the cost of an operation

Last week was the first week of the four-week Big Health Insurance Switch campaign and more than 45,000 people signed up. Joining is free and there is no obligation to accept any offer that is presented.




The Big Health Insurance Switch

For more details visit moneysaverhq.com.au. One Big Switch and News Corp Australia earn a commission on any offers that are accepted.

Perth House Prices Fell 2.3 percent in February

House values across Perth fell by more than 2 per cent through February despite the cut in mortgage interest rates.

Figures:
from RP Data-CoreLogic showed values in Perth dropped by 2.3 per cent
to be 2.9 per cent down since the start of the year.

The fall was not confined to houses. The value of units dropped by 0.4 per
cent in the month to be off by 0.9 per cent this year.

Over the past 12 months house value sin Perth are up by just 0.7 per cent,
well short of inflation, while unit values have fallen in nominal value
by 1.9 per cent.

Only Hobart has a softer house market than Perth with values on the Apple Isle up by 0.6 per cent.

The fall came despite the Reserve Bank slicing official interest rates to their lowest level on record. Banks cut their mortgage rates in line with the Reserve.

Nationally, prices edged up by a modest 0.3 per cent but almost all of the growth was in Sydney
where house values lifted by 1.6 per cent.

Over the past year, Sydney values have climbed by 14.7 per cent.

RP’s head of research Tim Lawless said there had been step down in growth over the past three months.

He said outside of Sydney, lower interest rates were failing to drive up values.

“We might not see the lower interest rate environment stimulate the housing market as much as it has in the past,” he said.

“Weaker jobs growth, higher unemployment, declining affordability, low rental
yields and political uncertainty are all factors that could dent consumer confidence and provide some counter balance to the rate cuts and quell any additional market exuberance.”

The Reserve Bank board meets tomorrow with markets putting the chance of a rate cut at 50-50